- GPU gross sales for Q3 are down virtually 8% year-on-year
- That is usually a powerful interval for gross sales of discrete graphics playing cards
- Evidently players are holding off for RTX 5000 and RDNA 4 GPUs
Usually, this time of 12 months would witness sturdy gross sales within the desktop GPU market, however one analyst agency observes that Q3 2024 has seen a definite drop in shopping for exercise.
This comes from Jon Peddie Analysis (JPR), which has compiled figures for Q3 gross sales of ‘graphics add-in boards’ (which means standalone GPUs that slot into desktop PCs) discovering that 8.1 million models have been shifted within the quarter.
That’s down 7.9% on the identical quarter in 2023, a reasonably hefty drop, and it’s additionally down in comparison with Q2 2024, with a fair bigger lower of 14.5%.
AMD misplaced a bit extra floor right here, too, as Nvidia now has 90% of the discrete graphics card market (up from 88% in Q2), with Group Purple holding the remaining 10% (down from 12%). Intel Arc merchandise don’t register on the scales for standalone GPUs, sadly for Group Blue – although unsurprisingly it nonetheless holds the bulk share in the case of CPU-integrated graphics.
The longer term additionally appears gloomy, JPR forecasts, as discrete GPUs are forecast to have a detrimental compound annual progress price of -6%, with the market set to shrink additional by to 2028.
Evaluation: Consumers are taking part in a ready recreation
Clearly, this isn’t nice information for any of the GPU giants, however AMD might be notably displeased to see extra market share slip away from it – the corporate is simply simply clinging onto double digits at this level.
A 12 months in the past, Group Purple had a 17% share of the market. So, regardless of some notably profitable Radeon GPU launches in latest occasions – particularly the RX 7900 GRE, which the truth is tops our checklist of the perfect graphics playing cards, and the RX 7800 XT, a powerful mid-range providing that headed up that checklist when it got here out final 12 months – AMD is floundering, a minimum of in accordance with these stats.
Why are general GPU gross sales down in a reversal of the traditional image for the third quarter? That’s certainly because of the proximity of next-gen graphics playing cards from AMD and Nvidia, that are about to launch, in idea, at CES 2025 in each instances.
An extra problem that Jon Peddie factors out is that the connect price of discrete GPUs relative to CPUs in desktop PCs has dropped, which means that extra PCs are transport with no discrete graphics card, counting on built-in graphics as a substitute. That connect price fell by 26.9% in Q3 in comparison with the earlier quarter, which once more is a shaky signal for GPU makers.
Lastly, the rationale for the prediction of detrimental progress by to 2028 is Trump coming into workplace within the US and imposing import tariffs (notably on China) which can be doubtlessly going to push up the worth of PCs and elements by a hefty quantity.
So those that are ready for next-gen GPUs within the US may want to maneuver fairly swiftly when these fashions (hopefully) go on sale early subsequent 12 months, earlier than doubtlessly main value hikes begin kicking in for all method of shopper electronics.
By way of Tom’s {Hardware}
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